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Probability and Opinion: A Study in the Medieval Presuppositions of Post-Medieval Theories of Probability (1968)

Contributor(s): Byrne, Edmund F (Author)

ISBN: 9789401502955

Publisher: Springer

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Pub Date: January 1, 1968

Dewey: 180

Lexile Code: 0000

Features: Bibliography

Target Age Group: NA to NA

Physical Info: 0.75" H x 9.21" L x 6.14" W ( 1.11 lbs) 334 pages

Descriptions, Reviews, etc.

Description: Modern physics has accustomed us to consider events which cannot give rise to certainty in our knowledge. A scientific knowledge of such events is nevertheless possible. The method which has enabled us to obtain a stable and exact knowledge about uncertain events consists in a kind of changing of plane and in the replacing of the study of indi- vidual phenomena by the study of statistical aggregates to which those phenomena can give rise. A statistical aggregate is not a collection of real phenomena, among which some would happen more often, others more rarely. It is a set of possibilities relative to a certain object or to a certain type of phenomenon. For example, we could consider the differ- ent ways in which a die, thrown in given conditions, can fall: they are the possible results of a certain trial, the casting of the die (in the fore- seen conditions). The set of those results constitutes effectively a set of possibilities, relative to a phenomenon of a certain type, the fall of the die in specified circumstances. Similarly, it is possible to consider the different velocities which can affect a molecule in a volume of gas; the set of those velocities constitutes effectively a set of possible values which a physical property, namely the velocity of a molecule, can have.

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